Which Comes First, the Wells or the Pipeline?

Series2 publications · 2025–2026

Canada’s pipeline debate is a wells-or-pipeline-first dilemma: producers won’t invest in growth without pipelines, and pipelines won’t proceed without producer commitments. Past booms show the billions required and the risks of mismatched timing. Today, spending needed to just sustain output already consumes most capital expenditures. Who will finance the next wave of growth, and under what conditions?

  1. Which Comes First: The Wells or the Pipeline? preview1 of 2
    Issue
    Oct 2, 2025

    Which Comes First: The Wells or the Pipeline?

    Canada’s pipeline debate is a wells-or-pipeline-first dilemma: producers won’t invest in growth without pipelines, and pipelines won’t proceed without producer commitments. Past booms show the billions required and the risks of mismatched timing. Today, spending needed to just sustain output already consumes most capital expenditures. Who will finance the next wave of growth, and under what conditions?

  2. The Pipelines Come First preview2 of 2
    Issue
    Aug 25, 2026

    The Pipelines Come First

    Last October, Studio.Energy asked which comes first, the wells or the pipeline. Nine months later, governments have answered. On July 2, 2026, Alberta submitted the 1 million barrels per day (MMb/d) West Coast Oil Pipeline (WCOP) project to the Major Projects Office.¹ With additional expansions from incumbent oil pipeline companies, proposed new export capacity could total over 2 MMb/d. Answer: The pipelines are coming first.