The Cost of Being a Market Hostage

Series2 publications · 2025–2026

A series highlighting the ongoing cost of being a price-taker and the importance of broader market diversification

  1. Latest Developments in Canada’s Market Hostage Situation preview1 of 2
    Issue
    Oct 9, 2026

    Latest Developments in Canada’s Market Hostage Situation

    The expansion of the Trans Mountain pipeline opened new Pacific markets for Canadian oil exports and helped narrow heavy oil differentials. Yet the gap between WTI and WCS pricing has widened significantly in recent weeks, highlighting the ongoing cost of being a price-taker and the importance of broader market diversification. In this issue, we examine the factors, both old and new, driving continued volatility in Canadian heavy oil pricing.

  2. The Cost of Being a Market Hostage preview2 of 2
    Issue
    Sep 8, 2025

    The Cost of Being a Market Hostage

    Canada’s oil sector has forfeited US$49 billion over 15 years to heavy-oil discounts. When market access tightens, the gap between benchmark prices can widen dramatically, wiping out billions in value. All stakeholders lose—from industry players, to investors to resource owners and taxpayers. Such losses highlight the need for Canada to move from price-taker to strategic player in global energy.